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Null resultAI usage (tokens)

Rule checks out of sample

Across every band measured on unseen skills, how many rule checks paid?

measured-local2026-09-1980e4a13
  • docs/experiments/DETECTION-2026-09-19.md · 80e4a13 · 2026-09-20

Headline figures

18

Unseen skills compared

measured-local · 2026-09-19

0of 18

Unseen skills accepted

95% interval 0.0% to 17.6%

measured-local · n=18 · 2026-09-19

4of 8

Seen, ranked lane K skills accepted

95% interval 21.5% to 78.5%

measured-local · n=8 · 2026-09-19

Notes

  • Seen and unseen are never pooled. The four accepted skills are all from the ranked, seen set.
  • The conditional band has 20 candidates in the whole measurable corpus and every one is now measured, so a larger conditional draw is not possible.

Tables

Rule-check bands, seen and unseen

n: Skills compared in the band. 5 rows.

bandprovenancesource_tablecomparedacceptedinterval_lowinterval_highmean_token_reductionnevidence_classdatecommit
conditional, rankedseenrule-checks840.21520.7848-0.00738measured-local2026-09-1980e4a13fb96ebb96d8efff8690a8c77215657590
conditional, rest of bandunseenconditional-rule-checks-rest2000.6576-0.28972measured-local2026-09-1980e4a13fb96ebb96d8efff8690a8c77215657590
absolute prohibitionunseenabsolute-rule-checks12000.24250.056912measured-local2026-09-1980e4a13fb96ebb96d8efff8690a8c77215657590
path-scoped writeunseenpath-rule-checks4000.4899-0.64944measured-local2026-09-1980e4a13fb96ebb96d8efff8690a8c77215657590
all unseen combinedunseenconditional-rule-checks-rest;absolute-rule-checks;path-rule-checks18000.1759-0.138518measured-local2026-09-1980e4a13fb96ebb96d8efff8690a8c77215657590